An Enduring Truce Among Israel and the Palestinian Territories? We've Heard That Before – The Result Was More Conflict
So, what time period are we in? The White House occupant, after months of tacit encouragement, has finally intervened to halt an military campaign from Israel that has turned large areas of a Middle Eastern city to debris, resulting in thousands killed and sparking international condemnation.
This military action has followed a sequence of attacks on the Israeli nation. Presently, facing demands from American leadership, the Israel's leader, a rightwinger with a talent for popular speech and a strong feeling of Zionist historical purpose, has consented to a truce.
Historical Parallels
The time period is not the current year, but the early 1980s. The location is not the Gaza Strip, but Beirut, Lebanon. The president is Ronald Reagan, not the current administration.
We find significant distinctions between the events in Lebanon more than four decades ago and what has happened in the Gaza Strip in the past two years. The October attack of recent times, which killed over a thousand and saw two hundred fifty taken hostage, differs significantly with the comparatively limited activities of the PLO in the time preceding the Israeli incursion of the Lebanese nation.
Uncanny Similarities
Some are uncanny. The president ultimately contacted the counterpart, stating to him that events in Beirut was "a catastrophe" and indicating the relations between their nations could be seriously harmed if the conflict persisted.
In 1982, similar to current times, the fighting unfolded in real time on global media. Many reporters traveled to Beirut to cover for the first time an Middle Eastern conflict without information control by either side.
Aftermath and Consequences
The situation subsequent to the conversation from American leadership and the halt in fighting in Lebanon is educational. The PLO, its groups and leaders were spread across multiple countries and a dozen countries.
Washington then removed US-led peacekeepers – a violation of the agreement with PLO leadership. The elected leader, the nation's freshly appointed president and Israeli-supported figure, was murdered by Damascus operatives.
Regional Transformation
Similar patterns emerged across the wider Middle East. By the late seventies, the increasingly non-religious and forward-thinking concepts that had appeared to provide the hope of a different tomorrow in the Arab and Islamic worlds previously were weakened.
The consequences of this emerged rapidly, almost immediately
Across the region, Israel and the United States now faced enemies who were much more intractable, lethal and capable than the secular movements and patriotic organizations of earlier years.
Western Response
Internationally, the outcomes of this were perverse. Throughout the 1970s, western analysts and policymakers had attempted to comprehend what led to militant radicalism.
Then, in the start of the eighties, this stopped. Political leaders in the America, the UK and other nations were lost interest in "underlying reasons" of conflict.
Contemporary Echoes
Recently, sources suggest that present administration communicated to government representatives that the state could not confront global opinion and admitted territorial ambitions for a sovereign entity.
This also was an repetition of historical precedent. In the wake of the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, previous leadership told the nation that the power of its military alone could not "achieve permanent resolution" and accepted "legitimate rights of the Palestinian people."
But a US-led diplomatic initiative meant to resolve those grievances went nowhere. Abroad, political figures looked on powerlessly.
Global attention in the Middle East decreased. Israel opposed compromises. Subsequently, there was the major unrest, and the founding of new resistance movements.
- The cycles of history present serious insights for contemporary resolution attempts
- Lasting solutions require addressing underlying issues rather than short-term truces
- Regional dynamics continue to develop in complex and frequently surprising ways